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  1. #121
    Senior Member dneal's Avatar
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    Default Re: Post your Contentious Virus Posts Here

    Quote Originally Posted by rocl View Post
    Iím not really sure what ďthatĒ is, that nobody is predicting. Could you clarify what youíre referring to?

    Thanks for the links BTW. Iíve seen the one with Gupta, but not Sikora.

  2. #122
    FP Enthusiast Emeritus mhosea's Avatar
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    Default Re: Post your Contentious Virus Posts Here

    Well, those are precisely the words I used to refer to the notion that COVID-19 would subside like Zika, without infecting the vast majority of the population and without a vaccine. Absent clarification, I interpret it as a response to me on that point, because I was wrong--some people are predicting that, more or less, with a substantially larger-than-worst-case percentage of the population being naturally immune or having cleared or being able to clear the virus without experiencing significant harm. If we don't need a vaccine because we aren't in the pickle most people think we're in, so much the better. The context of my remarks was in response to the dismissive treatment of a vaccine in the Bhattacharya video, which was, you will admit, rather gloomy in outlook. Having said that, I might further argue that, especially if many people are naturally immune and/or don't produce specifically detected antibodies to clear the infection, we probably won't know that soon enough for economics to put the brakes on vaccine development for COVID-19. We'll be watching with bated breath into the late fall, wondering whether seasonality explains reduced incidence.
    Last edited by mhosea; May 26th, 2020 at 09:44 AM.
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  3. #123
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    Default Re: Post your Contentious Virus Posts Here

    My apologies. Yes, it was an attempt at quoting mhosea and removing everything but the relevant part and I managed to remove the quotation marks too. I have also heard many say that it was reasonable to assume that Covid 19 would become more benign over a longer period (years) as that happens commonly with many viruses.

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